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Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 3, 2014 - KIWI remains strong By Collinson FX, , 1:15 AM Fri 4 Jul 2014
July 3, 2014: The AUD retreated to 0.9440 with a surprising jump in the trade deficit. The deficit jumped from minus A$780m to minus A$ 1,911m, giving pause to a trade lead recovery, impacted by a rising currency. The KIWI remained strong, trading 0.8770, supported by extremely attractive interest rates, and a complicit Central Bank. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 2, 2014 - KIWI rises higher By Collinson FX, , 12:22 PM Wed 2 Jul 2014
July 2, 2014: The RBA left interest unchanged and confirmed moderate growth required interest rate stability. Commentary on a rising AUD was not desired. The AUD broke back above 0.9500 confounding the Central Bank and hitting the trade sector. The KIWI continues to flourish, moving to 0.8775, cheered by the RBNZ, hitting the domestic and trade exposed economy hard. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: July 1, 2014 - NZ Economy hits wall By Collinson FX, , 10:23 PM Tue 1 Jul 2014
July 1, 2014: Wheeler has embarked on an aggressive monetary policy to raise rates in an effort to combat inflationary pressures and fight the real estate bubble in Auckland. He has succeeded in slowing economic activity, by raising the cost of capital and boosting the KIWI, which has been a body blow to the all-important trade sector. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 28, 2014 - Directional changes By Collinson FX, , 10:41 AM Mon 30 Jun 2014
June 28, 2014: The week ahead has many reasons for some quantum directional changes, with important Employment data out in the US, while the ECB and RBA rate decisions ensure Central Banks dominate. This should be a massive week, but shortened, with the Independence Day holiday on Friday in the USA! ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 27, 2014 - KIWI flies high By Collinson FX, , 9:59 AM Fri 27 Jun 2014
June 27, 2014: The KIWI is flying high, moving up to 0.8770, fuelled by the growing and attractive interest rate differentials. RBNZ Governor Wheeler is suffering collateral damage from his hawkish and presumptuous monetary policy moves. This has long been an error of NZ Central Bankers, acting without patience, thus causing unnecessary volatility and pressures on the currency. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 26, 2014 - KIWI climbs back By Collinson FX, , 7:12 AM Thu 26 Jun 2014
June 26, 2014: The KIWI regained yesterday's losses and surged back to 0.8730 with interest rate differentials providing incentives to international investors. The gloss will start to fade on the global rock star economy as the misguided and deluded RBNZ impacts the economy with aggressive and destructive interest rate hikes. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 25, 2014 - AUD up KIWI down By Collinson FX, , 12:56 AM Thu 26 Jun 2014
June 25, 2014: Equities were mixed again overnight but were perched at record levels due to growing economic confidence. The hand brake is the Geo-Political developing crises in the Middle East and the Ukraine. The Middle East has the ability of igniting the whole region which would be catastrophic for oil and the global economy. The Ukraine has the potential to impact an already impaired European ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 24, 2014 - AUD picks back up By Collinson FX, , 1:16 AM Wed 25 Jun 2014
June 24, 2014: The KIWI holds 0.8700. European markets fell after manufacturing and services PMI dropped lower in France, Germany and the EU. Hardly surprising for the socialist basket case that is the bureaucratic lead EU and the ECB! The EUR traded around 1.3600, reflecting the state of the single market, while the GBP battled back to 1.7025. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 21, 2014 - KIWI climbs ladder By Collinson FX, , 10:34 PM Sun 22 Jun 2014
June 21, 2014: The EUR struggles at 1.3600 while the GDP has held 1.7000 reflecting the weakness of the reserve currency. NZD has regained 0.8700, driven by a hapless RBNZ and carry trade,attracting capital flows. The rising interest rates will impact the economy hard and Wheeler will realise his presumption. NZ trade data release this week may be the first symptom. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 20, 2014 - NZ GDP improves By Collinson FX, , 10:24 PM Fri 20 Jun 2014
June 20, 2014: US stocks were mixed again today, hovering just below record levels, supported by the Fed's extension of low interest rates. Yellen confirmed the recovery was underway and reduced the QE by a further $10 Billion. The AUD trades around 0.9400 and the KIWI holds above 0.8700 with NZ GDP continuing to improve, encouraging the RBNZ, in their tightening monetary policy. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 19, 2014 - KIWI Up AUD Down By Collinson FX, , 12:22 AM Fri 20 Jun 2014
June 19, 2014: This assisted the associated currencies, with the AUD back to 0.9400, while the KIWI breaks back above 0.8700. Destruction of the Dollar and the defective EURO are the consequences of failing monetary and fiscal policies and will ultimately burst the equity bubble. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 18, 2014 - AUD loses ground By Collinson FX, , 1:26 AM Thu 19 Jun 2014
June 18, 2014: The AUD has lost ground and looks vulnerable, around the 0.9340 mark, while the KIWI has settled around 0.8650. The carry trade has the potential to overwhelm the fears over economic contraction in the NZ economy. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 17, 2014 - KIWI's meteoric rise By Collinson FX, , 10:39 AM Tue 17 Jun 2014
June 17, 2014: The KIWI's meteoric rise, due entirely to the RBNZ, and the corresponding rise in interest rates is having an impact. The economy is now starting to show the effects of RBNZ aggressive policies contradicting trading partners monetary policy. The AUD continues to trade steadily around 0.9400 ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 14, 2014 - RBNZ pumps KIWI up By Collinson FX, , 11:44 AM Sat 14 Jun 2014
June 14, 2014: The GBP is heading in the opposite direction, moving to 1.6975, thanking God they declined the single currency. NZ PMI contracted from 54.40 to 52.7 as the economy suffers the collateral damage inflicted by the Reserve Bank. Interest rate differential pushed the KIWI ever higher and now approaches the 0.8700 mark. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 13, 2014 - Sentiments change By Collinson FX, , 11:38 AM Fri 13 Jun 2014
June 13, 2014: Sentiment has changed this week with equities hit hard again. Once again, there was little in the way of economic data release, but the bubble is testing all-time record highs. Retail Sales improved but not to the degree expected and Jobless Claims rose. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 12, 2014 - Alice in Wonderland By Collinson FX, , 1:48 PM Thu 12 Jun 2014
June 12, 2014: The RBNZ has no such luck with a leader who lives in Alice in Wonderland. He has raised rates in an attempt to reel in regional real estate bubbles ignoring the cost to the economy. He has raised the cost of capital and hit economic growth. The trade sector will be smashed as the NZD rises due to interest rate differentials and the resultant carry trade. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 11, 2014 - Swinging markets By Collinson FX, , 11:29 AM Wed 11 Jun 2014
June 11, 2014: The AUD traded around 0.9350, despite a contraction in Job Advertisements and a deterioration in Business Conditions, reflecting some positive economic conditions emerging. The pressure from the RBNZ, to force the NZD lower, has begun to subside with the interest rate differentials encouraging the KIWI back towards 0.8500. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 7, 2014 - The alternate Universe By Collinson FX, , 6:01 PM Sat 7 Jun 2014
Equities made every post a winner, surging to yet another record, all-time high! European markets were stable and the single currency reflected this, trading 1.3650 while the GBP was 1.6800. This stability was shared to close the week out in Asia with the AUD trading 0.9340 and the KIWI around 0.8500. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 6, 2014 - Negative deposit rates By Collinson FX, , 1:20 AM Sat 7 Jun 2014
Central Bank monetary expansionism hit new lows with the bank being the first to offer a negative deposit rate (-0.10%). The AUD continued to climb, back to 0.9330. The KIWI reversed recent weakness, jumping to just under 0.8500, amidst the ECB fallout. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: June 5, 2014 - KIWI weak and stalled By Collinson FX, , 12:49 PM Thu 5 Jun 2014
The KIWI remains weak and stalled under the yoke of a repressive interest rate regime, imposed by a delusional Central Banker, who fails to understand the supply side of the equation. The NZD drifted back to test the 0.8400 on the downside. European and US markets keenly await the much anticipated and telegraphed expansion of monetary policy. ...[more]

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