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Collinson FX Market Commentary: Apr 16 - Oil prices surge By Collinson FX, , 2:10 AM Fri 17 Apr 2015
Oil prices surged overnight and equities were going along for the ride. Oil reached US$56/barrel and boosted energy stocks reviving the recent rally. The Feds Biege Book was bleak, revealing mixed Retail sales and weak Manufacturing across all measured areas. This confirmed the economic weakness, supported by recent data releases, and further delayed prospects of interest rate rises. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Apr 15 - All rise against indicators By Collinson FX, , 1:36 AM Thu 16 Apr 2015
The NZD pushed back above 0.7500, while the AUD managed to regain 0.7600, beating macro-economic indicators.. Interest rate differentials continue to support the commodity currencies and sustain trade disadvantage. Will the RBA and RBNZ join the currency wars and cut rates, confronting pressures from trading partners monetary policies. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Apr 14 - China Trade shock hits KIWI By Collinson FX, , 12:21 AM Wed 15 Apr 2015
Shock trade data from China broke the strong global rally to start the week. The World Bank warned of the impact on Iron Ore prices which immediately hit the AUD. The commodity currency plunged to 0.7570, while the KIWI dropped to 0.7430, reflecting the dependent nature of their relationship with China. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Apr 11 - KIWI gears for interest cuts By Collinson FX, , 1:53 AM Mon 13 Apr 2015
The AUD remains below 0.7700, while the KIWI trade 0.7515, gearing up for interest rate cuts and currency wars. A failure of the NZD/AUD cross to achieve parity may form a ceiling. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Apr 10 - AUD stalls, Kiwi rises By Collinson FX, , 3:30 AM Sat 11 Apr 2015
The AUD attempted to challenge the 0.7700 mark, but failed, while the KIWI trades 0.7540. Earnings remain a focus and relief over a Greek/IMF repayment boosted confidence in European markets. The strong Dollar is impacting earnings and energy prices are critical to associated currencies and companies. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Apr 9 - AUD continues to recover By Collinson FX, , 1:26 AM Fri 10 Apr 2015
Apr 9 - The AUD continued to recover, pushing up towards 0.7700, while the KIWI wallowed around 0.7540. Oil has given back recent gains, despite pandemonium in the Middle East, reflecting the sorry state of the energy markets. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Apr 8 - Kiwi flies South By Collinson FX, , 9:51 AM Thu 9 Apr 2015
Apr 8: The RBA left interest rates unchanged, keeping the powder dry for a probable move next time around, givng the currency a major boost to 0.7640. The KIWI went south, below 0.7500, exaggerating the cross looking to hit historical parity. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Apr 7 - ANZAC Parity? By Collinson FX, , 2:29 AM Wed 8 Apr 2015
Apr 7: The KIWI moved back towards 0.7600, while the AUD moved to around 0.7625, parity looking a distinct possibility. The Bank of Japan issue a Monetary Policy Statement and The Bank of England will announce rate decisions. The RBA look like they may tend to a cut this week in solidarity with Global Central Banks. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Mar 28 - Week comes to a quiet end By Collinson FX, , 10:06 PM Sun 29 Mar 2015
A quiet finish to the week with little in the way of economic data releases. US GDP missed expectations of 2.4%, coming in at 2.2%, surprising few. The University of Michigan Confidence reported a rise but this was little to analyst and equities were steady. Yelen's commentary was in line with expectations and the Dollar had a positive reaction to hawkish remarks ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Mar 27 - ANZACs drop By Collinson FX, , 1:15 AM Sat 28 Mar 2015
The AUD slipped back to 0.7825, while the KIWI dropped below 0.7600, still well supported by interest rate differentials and a weak Dollar. Economic data interpretations and the impact this will have on Central Bank perceived actions will continue to drive equities, bonds and currencies! ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Mar 26 - Tech sector sell-off By Collinson FX, , 12:57 AM Fri 27 Mar 2015
The KIWI traded around 0.7580, while the AUD drifted back to 0.7830, with support from interest rate differentials and a Dollar retracement. Central Banks will continue to dominate with economic data release influencing speculation on action. Growth is not likely to surprise on the upside and inflation will certify this direction. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Mar 25 - US drowns in liquidity By Collinson FX, , 9:02 PM Wed 25 Mar 2015
The Fed will not raise rates, with little growth and low inflation, with the inability to service the massive debt accumulated through endless deficits. The weak Dollar was reflected in the commodity currencies, with the AUD trading 0.7850, while the KIWI remained bid around 0.7630. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Mar 24 - Kiwi wins beauty contest By Collinson FX, , 10:37 PM Tue 24 Mar 2015
The Dollar is also collateral damage, with the EUR rising to 1.0940, while the GBP trade 1.4940. Commodity currencies also booked big gains with the AUD rising to 0.7870, while the KIWI surged to 0.7650! The NZD Dollar is extremely attractive, as economic conditions are marginally less benign, while interest rate differentials provide massive incentive ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Mar 20 - Oil price lifts By Collinson FX, , 12:13 AM Mon 23 Mar 2015
Mar 20 - Oil moved north, with some recovery in commodity prices, as the reserve currency is allowing an anemic recovery. This boosted associated currencies, with the AUD jumping to 0.7770, while the KIWI hit 0.7540, with a rise in local Consumer Confidence. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Mar 19 - Oil drops below $43 barrel By Collinson FX, , 10:44 PM Thu 19 Mar 2015
Mar 19 - Oil dropped below $43/barrel reflecting contracting global demand for commodities. The associated currencies reacted accordingly, with the AUD breaking above 0.7700, while the KIWI moved above 0.7430. Monetary Policy and Central banks will continue to drive markets with little prospect of rate rises in developed markets. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Mar 18 - What's the Fed's fancy? By Collinson FX, , 8:06 PM Wed 18 Mar 2015
Mar 18 - Equity markets drifted lower overnight due to positive economic data triggering speculation that the Fed may move towards interest rate rises. The AUD continued to look inhibited, trading just above 0.7600, while the NZD was testing 0.7300 on the downside. All eyes remain on the Fed's rate decision tonight! ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Mar 17 - US Interest rate decision? By Collinson FX, , 10:02 PM Tue 17 Mar 2015
Mar 17 - Australian New Vehicle Sales jumped 2.9%, as the currency clawed back to 0.7640, boosted by a flagging reserve. The KIWI also booked gains, moving back to 0.7370, reflecting USD weakness rather than any domestic positives. The NZD currently trades 0.6960 and 0.4965 against the EUR and GBP, little changed from yesterday. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: NZD and AUD hit by US rally By Collinson FX, , 12:01 AM Sun 15 Mar 2015
Mar 14 - Equity markets fell overnight for the same reason they rose in the previous session! Market speculation that Central banks will act on Monetary Policy has been the major driver on equities, bonds and currencies since the GFC. The AUD was hit hard by the USD rally, dropping back to 0.7620 and the KIWI slipped below 0.7400, despite a rise in local Manufacturing PMI data. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Mar 12 - Kiwi plunges some more By Collinson FX, , 12:43 AM Fri 13 Mar 2015
Mar 12 - The RBNZ will cheer recent weakness in the currency and are expected to hold interest rates high, hitting cost of money. They may announce further income/ equity ratios today in order to cut rates while deflating the real estate market. The NZD currently trades 0.6820 and 0.4810 against the EUR and GBP, both under performing the dwindling KIWI. ...[more]

Collinson FX Market Commentary: Mar 11 - Kiwi plunges By Collinson FX, , 11:48 PM Wed 11 Mar 2015
Mar 11 - Equities were hammered overnight amidst speculation of a Fed rate rise. Recent economic data has been positive enough to adopt a reality in monetary policy. This has lead to many believing that a rate rise is in the offing. This directly impacted currencies, with the Dollar rallying strongly, although dovish Fed Chair perhaps questions this. ...[more]

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